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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win57%
Draw21%
Away win22%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 57% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win57% selection probability
Projected score2–1Swit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiOlimpia Zambrow
Expected goals3.25Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
57% / 21% / 22%Match resultHome win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21%)Double chance1279%1.27
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.25 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki win57%1.751.5557.9%
Draw21%4.764.3320.7%
Olimpia Zambrow win22%4.554.2021.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki1.97

Home share of expected goals 60.6%

Total expected goals3.25Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Olimpia Zambrow1.28

Away share of expected goals 39.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Olimpia Zambrow

2.50pts / match
Played4Wins3Drawn1Losses0Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
3
Points from supplied form
10
1.97
Expected goals
1.28
Swit Nowy Dwor MazowieckiOlimpia Zambrow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olimpia Zambrow signalAway unbeaten 4/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Zambrow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki win 57%,Draw 21%,Olimpia Zambrow win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.25 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over