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ENG England Premier League 2 · Final ·

Sunderland U21 vs Nottm Forest U21

Prediction review

Home form
Final score5–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw23%
Away win38%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sunderland U21Nottm Forest U21
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 23% / 38%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Double chance1277.1%1.30
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sunderland U21 win39%2.562.3039.2%-0.2 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
Nottm Forest U21 win38%2.632.3538.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sunderland U211.44

Home share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Nottm Forest U211.22

Away share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sunderland U21

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Nottm Forest U21

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
12
1.44
Expected goals
1.22
Sunderland U21Nottm Forest U21
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sunderland U21 signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nottm Forest U21 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Sunderland U21 vs Nottm Forest U21 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sunderland U21 win 39%,Draw 23%,Nottm Forest U21 win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under