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POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Polonia Warsaw II vs Nadnarwianka Pultusk

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win75%
Draw17%
Away win9%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 75% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win75% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Warsaw IINadnarwianka Pultusk
Expected goals3.63Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
75% / 17% / 9%Match resultHome win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nadnarwianka Pultusk win (8.9%)Double chance1X91.1%1.10
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.63 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warsaw II win75%1.331.1876.7%
Draw17%5.885.7515.7%
Nadnarwianka Pultusk win9%11.1112.007.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warsaw II2.48

Home share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals3.63Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Nadnarwianka Pultusk1.15

Away share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw II

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Nadnarwianka Pultusk

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Win probability excluding draw
9%
0
Points from supplied form
0
2.48
Expected goals
1.15
Polonia Warsaw IINadnarwianka Pultusk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warsaw II signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nadnarwianka Pultusk signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Polonia Warsaw II vs Nadnarwianka Pultusk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warsaw II win 75%,Draw 17%,Nadnarwianka Pultusk win 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over