Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
73% / 15% / 12%Match resultHome win73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wolverhampton U21 win (12.2%)Double chance1X87.8%1.14
Over 83% · Under 17%Goals 2.5Over83%1.20
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
4.49 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1——
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapMan City U21 winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Man City U21 win73%1.371.2572.1%+0.9 pp
Draw15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp
Wolverhampton U21 win12%8.337.0012.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 78.6%
Total expected goals4.49Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 83% · Under 17%
Away share of expected goals 21.4%
Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchMan City U21
WLWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchWolverhampton U21
WDLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
73%
Win probability excluding draw
12%12
Points from supplied form
53.53
Expected goals
0.96Man City U21Wolverhampton U21
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 15%.
Match questions
Man City U21 vs Wolverhampton U21 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 73% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Man City U21 win 73%，Draw 15%，Wolverhampton U21 win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.49 · Over 2.5 83% · Current selection Over。