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INT UEFA Conference League Qualifying · Final ·

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne

Prediction review

Home form
Final score0–2Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win48%
Draw27%
Away win26%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 48% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Lincoln Red Imps FCLarne
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 27% / 26%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Larne win (25.7%)Double chance1X74.3%1.35
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lincoln Red Imps FC win48%2.081.9147.8%
Draw27%3.703.4026.8%
Larne win26%3.853.6025.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lincoln Red Imps FC1.63

Home share of expected goals 58.4%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Larne1.16

Away share of expected goals 41.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lincoln Red Imps FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Larne

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
5
1.63
Expected goals
1.16
Lincoln Red Imps FCLarne
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lincoln Red Imps FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Larne signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Larne FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lincoln Red Imps FC win 48%,Draw 27%,Larne win 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over