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INT Uganda Super 8 · Final ·

KCCA vs NEC FC Bugolobi

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win38%
Draw27%
Away win34%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 38% selection probability
Prediction Won
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1KCCANEC FC Bugolobi
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
KCCA win38%2.63
Draw27%3.70
NEC FC Bugolobi win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KCCA1.25

Home share of expected goals 51.7%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

NEC FC Bugolobi1.17

Away share of expected goals 48.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KCCA

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

NEC FC Bugolobi

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.25
Expected goals
1.17
KCCANEC FC Bugolobi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KCCA signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NEC FC Bugolobi signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

KCCA vs NEC FC Bugolobi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KCCA win 38%,Draw 27%,NEC FC Bugolobi win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under