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ISR Israel Leumit Liga · Final ·

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win42%
Draw26%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Hapoel Rishon LezionHapoel Kfar Saba
Expected goals2.99Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 26% / 32%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.99 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapHapoel Rishon Lezion winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hapoel Rishon Lezion win42%2.382.1542.5%-0.5 pp
Draw26%3.853.5026.1%-0.1 pp
Hapoel Kfar Saba win32%3.132.9031.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.36

Home share of expected goals 45.5%

Total expected goals2.99Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Hapoel Kfar Saba1.63

Away share of expected goals 54.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hapoel Rishon Lezion

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Hapoel Kfar Saba

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
0
Points from supplied form
4
1.36
Expected goals
1.63
Hapoel Rishon LezionHapoel Kfar Saba
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hapoel Rishon Lezion signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hapoel Kfar Saba signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hapoel Rishon Lezion win 42%,Draw 26%,Hapoel Kfar Saba win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.99 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over