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ISR Israel Leumit Liga · Final ·

Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–0Forecast 1–2
Away form
Home win26%
Draw27%
Away win47%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 47% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win47% selection probability
Projected score1–2Hapoel AfulaMS Ashdod
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 27% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hapoel Afula win (26.5%)Double chanceX273.5%1.36
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hapoel Afula win26%3.853.5025.3%
Draw27%3.703.3026.8%
MS Ashdod win47%2.131.8547.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hapoel Afula1.18

Home share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

MS Ashdod1.51

Away share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hapoel Afula

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

MS Ashdod

0.00pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
47%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.18
Expected goals
1.51
Hapoel AfulaMS Ashdod
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hapoel Afula signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MS Ashdod signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Hapoel Afula vs MS Ashdod FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hapoel Afula win 26%,Draw 27%,MS Ashdod win 47%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over