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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Final ·

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FC Iberia 1999

Prediction review

Home form
Final score4–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win65%
Draw22%
Away win14%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win65% selection probability
Projected score2–1Jagiellonia BialystokFC Iberia 1999
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
65% / 22% / 14%Match resultHome win65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Iberia 1999 win (13.6%)Double chance1X86.4%1.16
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Jagiellonia Bialystok win65%1.541.3866.5%
Draw22%4.554.3321.2%
FC Iberia 1999 win14%7.147.5012.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jagiellonia Bialystok1.81

Home share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

FC Iberia 19990.89

Away share of expected goals 33%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jagiellonia Bialystok

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Iberia 1999

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.81
Expected goals
0.89
Jagiellonia BialystokFC Iberia 1999
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jagiellonia Bialystok signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Iberia 1999 signalHome won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs FC Iberia 1999 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jagiellonia Bialystok win 65%,Draw 22%,FC Iberia 1999 win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over