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INT Finland Ykkosliiga · Round 17 ·

FC Haka vs Jippo

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Away form
Home win45%
Draw28%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC HakaJippo
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
45% / 28% / 27%Match resultHome win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jippo win (26.8%)Double chance1X73.2%1.37
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 45% · No 55%Both teams scoreNo55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.3%Largest probability gapJippo winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Haka win45%2.222.0045.7%-0.7 pp
Draw28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Jippo win27%3.703.5026.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Haka1.09

Home share of expected goals 49.5%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Jippo1.11

Away share of expected goals 50.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Haka

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Jippo

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.09
Expected goals
1.11
FC HakaJippo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Haka signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Jippo signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Haka vs Jippo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Haka win 45%,Draw 28%,Jippo win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under