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ITA Italy Serie C Group B · Final ·

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Gubbio

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win29%
Draw37%
Away win33%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Expected goals1.41Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under83% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
29% / 37% / 33%Match resultDraw37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win (29.5%)Double chanceX270.5%1.42
Over 17% · Under 83%Goals 2.5Under83%1.20
Yes 26% · No 74%Both teams scoreNo74%1.35
1.41 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win29%3.45
Draw37%2.70
Gubbio win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Guidonia Montecelio 19370.66

Home share of expected goals 46.8%

Total expected goals1.41Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 17% · Under 83%

Gubbio0.75

Away share of expected goals 53.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gubbio

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
8
0.66
Expected goals
0.75
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937Gubbio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gubbio signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 37%.

Match questions

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Gubbio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win 29%,Draw 37%,Gubbio win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.41 · Over 2.5 17% · Current selection Under