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ROU Romania Liga II · Fixture ·

SC Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw25%
Away win29%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score2–1SC Popesti LeordeniFC Bacau
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 25% / 29%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
SC Popesti Leordeni win46%2.17
Draw25%4.00
FC Bacau win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Popesti Leordeni1.52

Home share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

FC Bacau1.15

Away share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

SC Popesti Leordeni

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

FC Bacau

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
1
Points from supplied form
9
1.52
Expected goals
1.15
SC Popesti LeordeniFC Bacau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Popesti Leordeni signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Bacau signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

SC Popesti Leordeni vs FC Bacau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Popesti Leordeni win 46%,Draw 25%,FC Bacau win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under