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PRT Portugal U19 League · Final ·

Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicao U19

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–1Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win41%
Draw26%
Away win33%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Guimaraes U19Famalicao U19
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 26% / 33%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapGuimaraes U19 winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Guimaraes U19 win41%2.442.1541.7%-0.7 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.6%+0.4 pp
Famalicao U19 win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Guimaraes U191.32

Home share of expected goals 47.3%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Famalicao U191.47

Away share of expected goals 52.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Guimaraes U19

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Famalicao U19

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.32
Expected goals
1.47
Guimaraes U19Famalicao U19
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Guimaraes U19 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Famalicao U19 signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Guimaraes U19 vs Famalicao U19 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Guimaraes U19 win 41%,Draw 26%,Famalicao U19 win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over