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NZL New Zealand NRFL Premier Division Women · Final ·

West Coast Rangers (W) vs Ellerslie (W)

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–2Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win66%
Draw17%
Away win17%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 66% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win66% selection probability
Projected score2–1West Coast Rangers (W)Ellerslie (W)
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
66% / 17% / 17%Match resultHome win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Ellerslie (W) win (16.6%)Double chance1X83.4%1.20
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
West Coast Rangers (W) win66%1.521.3068.8%
Draw17%5.885.5016.3%
Ellerslie (W) win17%5.886.0014.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

West Coast Rangers (W)1.78

Home share of expected goals 65.4%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

Ellerslie (W)0.94

Away share of expected goals 34.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

West Coast Rangers (W)

1.00pts / match
Played4Wins1Drawn1Losses2Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/4

Away-context · form sequence

Ellerslie (W)

1.00pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
4
Points from supplied form
3
1.78
Expected goals
0.94
West Coast Rangers (W)Ellerslie (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01West Coast Rangers (W) signalHome failed to score: 2/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ellerslie (W) signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

West Coast Rangers (W) vs Ellerslie (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

West Coast Rangers (W) win 66%,Draw 17%,Ellerslie (W) win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over