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ARG Argentina Liga Profesional · Fixture ·

Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw34%
Away win34%
Full model forecastDrawTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDraw34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo RiestraEstudiantes LP
Expected goals1.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under88% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo80% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 34% / 34%Match resultDraw34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Riestra win (32.4%)Double chanceX267.6%1.48
Over 12% · Under 88%Goals 2.5Under88%1.14
Yes 20% · No 80%Both teams scoreNo80%1.25
1.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapDeportivo Riestra winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Riestra win32%3.132.8033.3%-1.3 pp
Draw34%2.942.8033.3%+0.7 pp
Estudiantes LP win34%2.942.8033.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Riestra0.50

Home share of expected goals 42%

Total expected goals1.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 12% · Under 88%

Estudiantes LP0.69

Away share of expected goals 58%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 20% · No 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Deportivo Riestra

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalAway won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Estudiantes LP

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
5
Points from supplied form
9
0.50
Expected goals
0.69
Deportivo RiestraEstudiantes LP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Riestra signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estudiantes LP signalAway clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes LP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Riestra win 32%,Draw 34%,Estudiantes LP win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.19 · Over 2.5 12% · Current selection Under