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EUR UEFA Europa League Qualifying · Final ·

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzen

Prediction review

Home form
Final score3–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win50%
Draw25%
Away win25%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Prediction Won
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Crvena ZvezdaViktoria Plzen
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 25% / 25%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.6%)Double chance1275.4%1.33
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.66 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crvena Zvezda win50%2.001.8051%
Draw25%4.003.7524.5%
Viktoria Plzen win25%4.003.7524.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crvena Zvezda1.57

Home share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Viktoria Plzen1.09

Away share of expected goals 41%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Crvena Zvezda

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Viktoria Plzen

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.57
Expected goals
1.09
Crvena ZvezdaViktoria Plzen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crvena Zvezda signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Viktoria Plzen signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Crvena Zvezda vs Viktoria Plzen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crvena Zvezda win 50%,Draw 25%,Viktoria Plzen win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under