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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

CK Troszyn vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score2–2CK TroszynMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CK Troszyn win37%2.702.5035.7%
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win37%2.702.3538%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CK Troszyn1.63

Home share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki1.56

Away share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CK Troszyn

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.63
Expected goals
1.56
CK TroszynMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CK Troszyn signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CK Troszyn vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CK Troszyn win 37%,Draw 26%,Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over