Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
80% / 14% / 7%Match resultHome win80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Casetas win (6.7%)Double chance1X93.3%1.07
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.39 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Utebo win80%1.251.1382.2%—
Draw14%7.147.5012.4%—
Casetas win7%14.2917.005.5%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 70.8%
Total expected goals3.39Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 29.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.75pts / matchUtebo
LWLL
Played4Wins1Drawn0Losses3Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/4
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCasetas
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
80%
Win probability excluding draw
7%3
Points from supplied form
02.40
Expected goals
0.99UteboCasetas
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 14%.
Match questions
Utebo vs Casetas FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 80% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Utebo win 80%，Draw 14%，Casetas win 7%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.39 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。