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ENG England League 1 · Fixture ·

Cambridge Utd vs Wigan

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.58 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw29%
Away win32%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Cambridge UtdWigan
Expected goals2.58Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 32%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Double chance1270.9%1.41
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.58 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cambridge Utd win39%2.562.4038%
Draw29%3.453.1029.4%
Wigan win32%3.132.8032.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cambridge Utd1.38

Home share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.58Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Wigan1.20

Away share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cambridge Utd

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Wigan

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
8
Points from supplied form
5
1.38
Expected goals
1.20
Cambridge UtdWigan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cambridge Utd signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigan signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Cambridge Utd vs Wigan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cambridge Utd win 39%,Draw 29%,Wigan win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.58 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under