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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Final ·

CA Atlas Reserves vs Lujan Reserves

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win27%
Draw27%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Atlas ReservesLujan Reserves
Expected goals2.06Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 27% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Double chance1273.5%1.36
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 41% · No 59%Both teams scoreNo59%1.69
2.06 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Atlas Reserves win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.1%+0.9 pp
Lujan Reserves win46%2.171.9146.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Atlas Reserves0.93

Home share of expected goals 45.1%

Total expected goals2.06Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Lujan Reserves1.13

Away share of expected goals 54.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA Atlas Reserves

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lujan Reserves

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
10
Points from supplied form
12
0.93
Expected goals
1.13
CA Atlas ReservesLujan Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Atlas Reserves signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lujan Reserves signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CA Atlas Reserves vs Lujan Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Atlas Reserves win 27%,Draw 27%,Lujan Reserves win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.06 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under