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KOR South Korea K League 2 · Round 17 ·

Yongin FC vs Busan I Park

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.10 expected goals
Away form
Home win25%
Draw26%
Away win49%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Yongin FCBusan I Park
Expected goals3.10Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 26% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Yongin FC win (24.5%)Double chanceX275.5%1.32
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.10 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapYongin FC winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yongin FC win25%4.003.7024.3%+0.7 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.5%-0.5 pp
Busan I Park win49%2.041.8349.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yongin FC1.27

Home share of expected goals 41%

Total expected goals3.10Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Busan I Park1.83

Away share of expected goals 59%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Yongin FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Busan I Park

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.27
Expected goals
1.83
Yongin FCBusan I Park
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yongin FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Busan I Park signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Yongin FC vs Busan I Park FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yongin FC win 25%,Draw 26%,Busan I Park win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.10 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over