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INT Czechia 3. Liga · Fixture ·

Varnsdorf vs Benatky Nad Jizerou

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.27 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw23%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–2VarnsdorfBenatky Nad Jizerou
Expected goals3.27Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 23% / 36%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Double chance1277.3%1.29
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBenatky Nad Jizerou winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Varnsdorf win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
Benatky Nad Jizerou win36%2.782.6034.6%+1.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Varnsdorf1.40

Home share of expected goals 42.8%

Total expected goals3.27Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Benatky Nad Jizerou1.87

Away share of expected goals 57.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Varnsdorf

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Benatky Nad Jizerou

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.40
Expected goals
1.87
VarnsdorfBenatky Nad Jizerou
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Varnsdorf signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Benatky Nad Jizerou signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Varnsdorf vs Benatky Nad Jizerou FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Varnsdorf win 42%,Draw 23%,Benatky Nad Jizerou win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over