Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Double chance1273.8%1.36
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Augsburg win43%2.332.1042.7%—
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%—
Sassuolo win31%3.232.9030.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.7%
Total expected goals2.94Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 46.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchAugsburg
DDLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchSassuolo
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Win probability excluding draw
31%3
Points from supplied form
71.58
Expected goals
1.36AugsburgSassuolo
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Augsburg vs Sassuolo FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Augsburg win 43%，Draw 26%，Sassuolo win 31%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。