Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 33%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Double chance1273.7%1.36
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.05 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCD Mafra U19 winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra U19 win40%2.502.2040.9%-0.9 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Alverca U19 win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.2%
Total expected goals3.05Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%
Away share of expected goals 51.8%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCD Mafra U19
WLWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAlverca U19
LWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
33%9
Points from supplied form
71.47
Expected goals
1.58CD Mafra U19Alverca U19
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
CD Mafra U19 vs Alverca U19 FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Mafra U19 win 40%，Draw 26%，Alverca U19 win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.05 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over。