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FIN Finlande - Kolmonen · Match ·

KUPS Akatemia II vs Yllatys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile48%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile48% selection probability
Projected score3–1KUPS Akatemia IIYllatys
Expected goals4.04Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de77% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
48% / 21% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.3%)Double chance1278.7%1.27
Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%Goals 2.5Plus de77%1.30
Oui 71% · Non 29%Les deux équipes marquentOui71%1.41
4.04 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapYllatys winDifference-1.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KUPS Akatemia II win48%2.081.9147.2%+0.8 pp
Nul21%4.764.2021.5%-0.5 pp
Yllatys win30%3.332.8831.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KUPS Akatemia II2.61

Domicile share of expected goals 64.6%

Total expected goals4.04Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 77% · Moins de 23%

Yllatys1.43

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.4%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 71% · Non 29%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

KUPS Akatemia II

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Yllatys

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
6
2.61
Expected goals
1.43
KUPS Akatemia IIYllatys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KUPS Akatemia II signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Yllatys signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

KUPS Akatemia II vs Yllatys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KUPS Akatemia II victoire 48%,Nul 21%,Yllatys victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Plus de 2.5 77% · Current selection Plus de