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NLD Pays-Bas - Eredivisie · Match ·

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs FC Twente

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.11 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul23%
Victoire à l’extérieur31%
Baseline forecastVictoire à domicileTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cambuur LeeuwardenFC Twente
Expected goals3.11Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 23% / 31%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 62% · Non 38%Les deux équipes marquentOui62%1.61
3.11 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Cambuur Leeuwarden win46%2.17
Nul23%4.35
FC Twente win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cambuur Leeuwarden1.73

Domicile share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.11Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

FC Twente1.38

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 62% · Non 38%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cambuur Leeuwarden

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Twente

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
31%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.73
Expected goals
1.38
Cambuur LeeuwardenFC Twente
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cambuur Leeuwarden signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Twente signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Cambuur Leeuwarden vs FC Twente FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cambuur Leeuwarden victoire 46%,Nul 23%,FC Twente victoire 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de