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ENG Angleterre - EFL Cup · Match ·

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.74 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile35%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Baseline forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–1FulhamAFC Wimbledon
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
35% / 26% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.74 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Fulham win35%2.86
Nul26%3.85
AFC Wimbledon win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fulham1.32

Domicile share of expected goals 48.2%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

AFC Wimbledon1.42

Extérieur share of expected goals 51.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Fulham

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

AFC Wimbledon

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.32
Expected goals
1.42
FulhamAFC Wimbledon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fulham signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Wimbledon signalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Fulham vs AFC Wimbledon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fulham victoire 35%,Nul 26%,AFC Wimbledon victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de