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ENG Angleterre - National League North · Match ·

Oxford City vs Bedford Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile47%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur27%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile47% selection probability
Projected score2–1Oxford CityBedford Town
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 26% / 27%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Double chance1274.3%1.35
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.79 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Oxford City win47%2.131.9147.1%-0.1 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Bedford Town win27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Oxford City1.58

Domicile share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

Bedford Town1.21

Extérieur share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Oxford City

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Bedford Town

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
9
1.58
Expected goals
1.21
Oxford CityBedford Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Oxford City signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bedford Town signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Oxford City vs Bedford Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Oxford City victoire 47%,Nul 26%,Bedford Town victoire 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de