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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Final ·

Jaguar Gdansk vs KP Starogard Gdansk

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score0–5Pronostic 1–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile15%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur59%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 59% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur59% selection probability
Projected score1–2Jaguar GdanskKP Starogard Gdansk
Expected goals2.46Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
15% / 26% / 59%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Jaguar Gdansk win (14.9%)Double chanceX285.1%1.18
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 36% · Non 64%Les deux équipes marquentNon64%1.56
2.46 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
10.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Jaguar Gdansk win15%6.67
Nul26%3.85
KP Starogard Gdansk win59%1.69

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jaguar Gdansk0.54

Domicile share of expected goals 22%

Total expected goals2.46Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

KP Starogard Gdansk1.92

Extérieur share of expected goals 78%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 36% · Non 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Jaguar Gdansk

0.00pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

KP Starogard Gdansk

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Gagné probability excluding draw
59%
0
Points from supplied form
11
0.54
Expected goals
1.92
Jaguar GdanskKP Starogard Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jaguar Gdansk signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KP Starogard Gdansk signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Jaguar Gdansk vs KP Starogard Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jaguar Gdansk victoire 15%,Nul 26%,KP Starogard Gdansk victoire 59%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.46 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de