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MWI Malawi Super League · Match ·

Ekhaya FC vs Dedza Dynamos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–01.92 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile59%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur14%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile59% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ekhaya FCDedza Dynamos
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
59% / 27% / 14%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dedza Dynamos win (14%)Double chance1X86%1.16
Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%Goals 2.5Moins de70%1.43
Oui 28% · Non 72%Les deux équipes marquentNon72%1.39
1.92 total expected goalsScore exact1–0
8.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapEkhaya FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ekhaya FC win59%1.691.5358.5%+0.5 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Dedza Dynamos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ekhaya FC1.47

Domicile share of expected goals 76.6%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%

Dedza Dynamos0.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 23.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitOui 28% · Non 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ekhaya FC

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Dedza Dynamos

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gagné probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.47
Expected goals
0.45
Ekhaya FCDedza Dynamos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ekhaya FC signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dedza Dynamos signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ekhaya FC vs Dedza Dynamos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–0 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ekhaya FC victoire 59%,Nul 27%,Dedza Dynamos victoire 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Plus de 2.5 30% · Current selection Moins de