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POL Pologne - IV Liga · Match ·

Hutnik Warsaw vs Blonianka Blonie

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.92 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score2–1Hutnik WarsawBlonianka Blonie
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 21% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Blonianka Blonie win (18.9%)Double chance1X81.1%1.23
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.92 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.3 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapHutnik Warsaw winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hutnik Warsaw win60%1.671.4860.8%-0.8 pp
Nul21%4.764.4020.5%+0.5 pp
Blonianka Blonie win19%5.264.8018.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hutnik Warsaw1.87

Domicile share of expected goals 64%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Blonianka Blonie1.05

Extérieur share of expected goals 36%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Hutnik Warsaw

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Blonianka Blonie

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.87
Expected goals
1.05
Hutnik WarsawBlonianka Blonie
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hutnik Warsaw signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blonianka Blonie signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hutnik Warsaw vs Blonianka Blonie FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hutnik Warsaw victoire 60%,Nul 21%,Blonianka Blonie victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de