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AUS Australie - New South Wales Premier League · Match ·

NWS Spirit FC vs Blacktown City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul29%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1NWS Spirit FCBlacktown City
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 29% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.3%)Double chance1270.7%1.41
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 52% · Non 48%Les deux équipes marquentOui52%1.92
2.53 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
NWS Spirit FC win34%2.94
Nul29%3.45
Blacktown City win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NWS Spirit FC1.21

Domicile share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Blacktown City1.32

Extérieur share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 52% · Non 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

NWS Spirit FC

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Blacktown City

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
13
1.21
Expected goals
1.32
NWS Spirit FCBlacktown City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NWS Spirit FC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Blacktown City signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

NWS Spirit FC vs Blacktown City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NWS Spirit FC victoire 34%,Nul 29%,Blacktown City victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de