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ENG Angleterre - EFL Cup · Match ·

Barnsley vs Wigan

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Baseline forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1BarnsleyWigan
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de51% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Double chance1274.2%1.35
Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%Goals 2.5Plus de51%1.96
Oui 55% · Non 45%Les deux équipes marquentOui55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Barnsley win37%2.70
Nul26%3.85
Wigan win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barnsley1.34

Domicile share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 51% · Moins de 49%

Wigan1.36

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 55% · Non 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Barnsley

1.33pts / match
Joués3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/3

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Wigan

2.00pts / match
Joués3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Points6

SignalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
BarnsleyWigan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barnsley signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wigan signalExtérieur clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Barnsley vs Wigan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barnsley victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Wigan victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Plus de 2.5 51% · Current selection Plus de