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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Match ·

Man. City vs Atletico Madrid

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile46%
Nul24%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 46% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Man. CityAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
46% / 24% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.97 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Man. City win46%2.171.9546.4%
Nul24%4.173.7024.4%
Atletico Madrid win30%3.333.1029.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Man. City1.64

Domicile share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Atletico Madrid1.33

Extérieur share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Man. City

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.64
Expected goals
1.33
Man. CityAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Man. City signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Man. City vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Man. City victoire 46%,Nul 24%,Atletico Madrid victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de