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DNK Danemark - Division 3 · Round 4 ·

ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.89 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile34%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur40%
Market-based forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur40% selection probability
Projected score1–1ASA AarhusHolstebro
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
34% / 25% / 40%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%Goals 2.5Plus de55%1.82
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
2.89 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ASA Aarhus win34%2.942.7033%
Nul25%4.003.5025.5%
Holstebro win40%2.502.1541.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ASA Aarhus1.44

Domicile share of expected goals 49.8%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 55% · Moins de 45%

Holstebro1.45

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

ASA Aarhus

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Holstebro

1.75pts / match
Joués4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gagné probability excluding draw
40%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.44
Expected goals
1.45
ASA AarhusHolstebro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ASA Aarhus signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holstebro signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ASA Aarhus victoire 34%,Nul 25%,Holstebro victoire 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Plus de 2.5 55% · Current selection Plus de