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JPN Japon - J2 League · Match ·

Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Omiya ArdijaAlbirex Niigata
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 28% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.7%)Double chance1272.3%1.38
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 53% · Non 47%Les deux équipes marquentOui53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Omiya Ardija win42%2.382.1542.6%
Nul28%3.573.3027.8%
Albirex Niigata win30%3.333.1029.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Omiya Ardija1.41

Domicile share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Albirex Niigata1.16

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 53% · Non 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Omiya Ardija

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Albirex Niigata

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.41
Expected goals
1.16
Omiya ArdijaAlbirex Niigata
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Omiya Ardija signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Albirex Niigata signalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Omiya Ardija vs Albirex Niigata FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Omiya Ardija victoire 42%,Nul 28%,Albirex Niigata victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de