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PRT Portugali Campeonato Nacional · Mäng ·

Benfica e Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit43%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit28%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Benfica e Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla60% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
43% / 29% / 28%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Naval 1893 win (27.9%)Topeltvõimalus1X72.1%1.39
Üle 40% · Alla 60%Goals 2.5Alla60%1.67
Jah 46% · Ei 54%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
8.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapBenfica e Castelo Branco winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Benfica e Castelo Branco win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Viik29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Naval 1893 win28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Benfica e Castelo Branco1.35

Kodu share of expected goals 58.7%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 40% · Alla 60%

Naval 18930.95

Võõras share of expected goals 41.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 46% · Ei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Benfica e Castelo Branco

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Võit probability excluding draw
28%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.35
Expected goals
0.95
Benfica e Castelo BrancoNaval 1893
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Benfica e Castelo Branco signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Naval 1893 signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Benfica e Castelo Branco vs Naval 1893 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Benfica e Castelo Branco võit 43%,Viik 29%,Naval 1893 võit 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Üle 2.5 40% · Current selection Alla