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LTU Lithuania 1 Lyga · Final ·

FK Jonava vs FA Šiauliai II

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score0–1Ennustus 2–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit61%
Viik24%
Võõrsilvõit15%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit61% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JonavaFA Šiauliai II
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle54% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
61% / 24% / 15%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FA Šiauliai II win (15.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X84.8%1.18
Üle 54% · Alla 46%Goals 2.5Üle54%1.85
Jah 43% · Ei 57%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi57%1.75
2.83 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FK Jonava win61%1.64
Viik24%4.17
FA Šiauliai II win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jonava2.18

Kodu share of expected goals 77%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 54% · Alla 46%

FA Šiauliai II0.65

Võõras share of expected goals 23%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 43% · Ei 57%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Jonava

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FA Šiauliai II

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Võit probability excluding draw
15%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.18
Expected goals
0.65
FK JonavaFA Šiauliai II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jonava signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FA Šiauliai II signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Jonava vs FA Šiauliai II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jonava võit 61%,Viik 24%,FA Šiauliai II võit 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Üle 2.5 54% · Current selection Üle