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TuPS vs JäPS II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.53 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit44%
Viik21%
Võõrsilvõit34%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit44% selection probability
Projected score2–1TuPSJäPS II
Expected goals3.53Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle68% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
44% / 21% / 34%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.4%)Topeltvõimalus1278.6%1.27
Üle 68% · Alla 32%Goals 2.5Üle68%1.47
Jah 67% · Ei 33%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah67%1.49
3.53 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
10.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapJäPS II winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
TuPS win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp
Viik21%4.764.2021.3%-0.3 pp
JäPS II win34%2.942.5535.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TuPS2.10

Kodu share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals3.53Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 68% · Alla 32%

JäPS II1.43

Võõras share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 67% · Ei 33%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

TuPS

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

JäPS II

2.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punktid12

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Võit probability excluding draw
34%
7
Points from supplied form
12
2.10
Expected goals
1.43
TuPSJäPS II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TuPS signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JäPS II signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

TuPS vs JäPS II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TuPS võit 44%,Viik 21%,JäPS II võit 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.53 · Üle 2.5 68% · Current selection Üle