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LTU Leedu II liiga · Round 28 ·

FK Panevėžys vs Nevezis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–23.18 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit22%
Viik25%
Võõrsilvõit53%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit53% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK PanevėžysNevezis
Expected goals3.18Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle61% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
22% / 25% / 53%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Panevėžys win (22.2%)TopeltvõimalusX277.8%1.29
Üle 61% · Alla 39%Goals 2.5Üle61%1.64
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
3.18 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FK Panevėžys win22%4.55
Viik25%4.00
Nevezis win53%1.89

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Panevėžys1.05

Kodu share of expected goals 33%

Total expected goals3.18Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 61% · Alla 39%

Nevezis2.13

Võõras share of expected goals 67%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Panevėžys

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punktid6

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Nevezis

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Võit probability excluding draw
53%
6
Points from supplied form
10
1.05
Expected goals
2.13
FK PanevėžysNevezis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Panevėžys signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nevezis signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FK Panevėžys vs Nevezis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Panevėžys võit 22%,Viik 25%,Nevezis võit 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Üle 2.5 61% · Current selection Üle