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NOR Norra 2. divisjon - 1. alagrupp · Mäng ·

FK Jerv vs Vidar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score4–14.43 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit74%
Viik15%
Võõrsilvõit10%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 74% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit74% selection probability
Projected score4–1FK JervVidar
Expected goals4.43Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle82% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
74% / 15% / 10%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vidar win (10.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X89.8%1.11
Üle 82% · Alla 18%Goals 2.5Üle82%1.22
Jah 46% · Ei 54%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi54%1.85
4.43 total expected goalsTäpne skoor4–1
10.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapFK Jerv winDifference+1.7 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Jerv win74%1.351.2572.3%+1.7 pp
Viik15%6.675.5016.4%-1.4 pp
Vidar win10%10.008.0011.3%-1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jerv3.80

Kodu share of expected goals 85.8%

Total expected goals4.43Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 82% · Alla 18%

Vidar0.63

Võõras share of expected goals 14.2%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJah 46% · Ei 54%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Jerv

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu won 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Vidar

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Võit probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
5
3.80
Expected goals
0.63
FK JervVidar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jerv signalKodu won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vidar signalKodu matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

FK Jerv vs Vidar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 4–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jerv võit 74%,Viik 15%,Vidar võit 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.43 · Üle 2.5 82% · Current selection Üle