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INT Brasiilia Série A1 - naised · Final ·

Fluminense (N) vs América MG (N)

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score4–1Ennustus 2–0
Võõras form
Koduvõit61%
Viik27%
Võõrsilvõit12%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Võidetud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit61% selection probability
Projected score2–0Fluminense (N)América MG (N)
Expected goals2.16Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla63% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi74% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
61% / 27% / 12%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes América MG (N) win (12.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X87.8%1.14
Üle 37% · Alla 63%Goals 2.5Alla63%1.59
Jah 26% · Ei 74%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi74%1.35
2.16 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–0
9.8 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Fluminense (N) win61%1.64
Viik27%3.70
América MG (N) win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fluminense (N)1.79

Kodu share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals2.16Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 37% · Alla 63%

América MG (N)0.37

Võõras share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJah 26% · Ei 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Fluminense (N)

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

América MG (N)

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Võit probability excluding draw
12%
7
Points from supplied form
4
1.79
Expected goals
0.37
Fluminense (N)América MG (N)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fluminense (N) signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02América MG (N) signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Fluminense (N) vs América MG (N) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–0 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fluminense (N) võit 61%,Viik 27%,América MG (N) võit 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.16 · Üle 2.5 37% · Current selection Alla