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ARG Argentina - Primera C · Partido ·

Berazategui vs Fénix

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.74 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate33%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score1–1BerazateguiFénix
Expected goals1.74Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de75% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 33% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fénix win (20.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.5%1.26
Más de 25% · Menos de 75%Goals 2.5Menos de75%1.33
Sí 30% · No 70%Ambos equipos marcanNo70%1.43
1.74 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Berazategui win46%2.17
Empate33%3.03
Fénix win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Berazategui1.21

Local share of expected goals 69.5%

Total expected goals1.74Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 25% · Menos de 75%

Fénix0.53

Visitante share of expected goals 30.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Berazategui

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Fénix

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.21
Expected goals
0.53
BerazateguiFénix
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Berazategui signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fénix signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Berazategui vs Fénix FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Berazategui ganada 46%,Empate 33%,Fénix ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.74 · Más de 2.5 25% · Current selection Menos de