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PAN Panamá - LPF · Partido ·

UMECIT vs CD Árabe Unido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1UMECITCD Árabe Unido
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 30% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Árabe Unido win (27.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X72.2%1.39
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
7.9 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapUMECIT winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UMECIT win42%2.382.1042.6%-0.6 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
CD Árabe Unido win28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UMECIT1.13

Local share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

CD Árabe Unido1.00

Visitante share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

UMECIT

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Árabe Unido

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.13
Expected goals
1.00
UMECITCD Árabe Unido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UMECIT signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Árabe Unido signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

UMECIT vs CD Árabe Unido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UMECIT ganada 42%,Empate 30%,CD Árabe Unido ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de