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ITA Italia - Serie C - Grupo B · Partido ·

Sambenedettese vs Forli

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.05 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SambenedetteseForli
Expected goals2.05Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 29% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Forli win (27.7%)Doble Oportunidad1X72.3%1.38
Más de 34% · Menos de 66%Goals 2.5Menos de66%1.52
Sí 41% · No 59%Ambos equipos marcanNo59%1.69
2.05 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapSambenedettese winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sambenedettese win43%2.332.0543.6%-0.6 pp
Empate29%3.453.1028.9%+0.1 pp
Forli win28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sambenedettese1.11

Local share of expected goals 54.1%

Total expected goals2.05Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 34% · Menos de 66%

Forli0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 45.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 41% · No 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sambenedettese

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Forli

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
10
Points from supplied form
5
1.11
Expected goals
0.94
SambenedetteseForli
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sambenedettese signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forli signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Sambenedettese vs Forli FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sambenedettese ganada 43%,Empate 29%,Forli ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.05 · Más de 2.5 34% · Current selection Menos de