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NOR Noruega - 1ª División · Partido ·

Moss vs Sogndal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.89 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local43%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local43% selection probability
Projected score2–2MossSogndal
Expected goals3.89Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de75% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan74% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
43% / 25% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Doble Oportunidad1275.5%1.32
Más de 75% · Menos de 25%Goals 2.5Más de75%1.33
Sí 74% · No 26%Ambos equipos marcan74%1.35
3.89 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
11.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.7%Largest probability gapSogndal winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Moss win43%2.332.1543.2%-0.2 pp
Empate25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Sogndal win33%3.032.9032%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Moss1.93

Local share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals3.89Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 75% · Menos de 25%

Sogndal1.96

Visitante share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 74% · No 26%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Moss

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Sogndal

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.93
Expected goals
1.96
MossSogndal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Moss signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sogndal signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Moss vs Sogndal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Moss ganada 43%,Empate 25%,Sogndal ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.89 · Más de 2.5 75% · Current selection Más de