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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Port F.C.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.23 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local29%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante44%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chongqing TonglianglongShanghai Port F.C.
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de61% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
29% / 27% / 44%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Doble Oportunidad1272.9%1.37
Más de 39% · Menos de 61%Goals 2.5Menos de61%1.64
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.23 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapShanghai Port F.C. winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chongqing Tonglianglong win29%3.453.3028.5%+0.5 pp
Empate27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Shanghai Port F.C. win44%2.272.1044.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chongqing Tonglianglong1.09

Local share of expected goals 48.9%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 39% · Menos de 61%

Shanghai Port F.C.1.14

Visitante share of expected goals 51.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Chongqing Tonglianglong

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shanghai Port F.C.

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Ganado probability excluding draw
44%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.09
Expected goals
1.14
Chongqing TonglianglongShanghai Port F.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chongqing Tonglianglong signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanghai Port F.C. signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Port F.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chongqing Tonglianglong ganada 29%,Empate 27%,Shanghai Port F.C. ganada 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Más de 2.5 39% · Current selection Menos de