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DEU Alemania - Bundesliga II · Round 1 ·

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.49 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante38%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante38% selection probability
Projected score2–2Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Expected goals3.49Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 26% / 38%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Doble Oportunidad1273.7%1.36
Más de 68% · Menos de 32%Goals 2.5Más de68%1.47
Sí 68% · No 32%Ambos equipos marcan68%1.47
3.49 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.4%Largest probability gapKarlsruher SC winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Karlsruher SC win36%2.782.6335.4%+0.6 pp
Empate26%3.853.5026.6%-0.6 pp
Arminia Bielefeld win38%2.632.4538%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Karlsruher SC1.82

Local share of expected goals 52.1%

Total expected goals3.49Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 68% · Menos de 32%

Arminia Bielefeld1.67

Visitante share of expected goals 47.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · No 32%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Karlsruher SC

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Arminia Bielefeld

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.82
Expected goals
1.67
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Karlsruher SC signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arminia Bielefeld signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Karlsruher SC vs Arminia Bielefeld FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Karlsruher SC ganada 36%,Empate 26%,Arminia Bielefeld ganada 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Más de 2.5 68% · Current selection Más de