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EUR Europe Friendlies · Final ·

Ρεάλ Άβιλα vs Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score4–0Πρόβλεψη 2–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου45%
Ισοπαλία23%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου32%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 45% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ρεάλ ΆβιλαΠοθουέλο Αλαρκόν
Expected goals3.22Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω62% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
45% / 23% / 32%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1276.9%1.30
Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%Goals 2.5Άνω62%1.61
Ναι 63% · Όχι 37%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι63%1.59
3.22 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
7.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ρεάλ Άβιλα win45%2.22
Ισοπαλία23%4.35
Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ρεάλ Άβιλα1.77

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.22Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 62% · Κάτω 38%

Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν1.45

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 63% · Όχι 37%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ρεάλ Άβιλα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν

0.00pts / match
Αγώνες0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Πόντοι0

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
1.45
Ρεάλ ΆβιλαΠοθουέλο Αλαρκόν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ρεάλ Άβιλα signalΓηπεδούχος won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Ρεάλ Άβιλα vs Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ρεάλ Άβιλα νίκη 45%,Ισοπαλία 23%,Ποθουέλο Αλαρκόν νίκη 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Άνω 2.5 62% · Current selection Άνω