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GRC Greece Cup · Αγώνας ·

Καλαμάτα vs Παναιτωλικός

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Market-based forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΚαλαμάταΠαναιτωλικός
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω52% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 29% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271%1.41
Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%Goals 2.5Κάτω52%1.92
Ναι 54% · Όχι 46%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.6 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Καλαμάτα win41%2.442.3540.1%
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.2029.5%
Παναιτωλικός win30%3.333.1030.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Καλαμάτα1.46

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 48% · Κάτω 52%

Παναιτωλικός1.17

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 54% · Όχι 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Καλαμάτα

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Παναιτωλικός

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.46
Expected goals
1.17
ΚαλαμάταΠαναιτωλικός
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Καλαμάτα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Παναιτωλικός signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Καλαμάτα vs Παναιτωλικός FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Καλαμάτα νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Παναιτωλικός νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Άνω 2.5 48% · Current selection Κάτω